Ukraine started today with, for once, the diplomatic wind on its sails.
Finally, he had agreed to a mineral agreement with Washington. An agreement that the United States would invest in the recovery of Ukraine, in exchange for part of the future benefits of its country of natural resources, energy infrastructure and its oil and gas.
There was also a first round of peace talks between North -American, European and Ukrainian officials in Paris, which had been considered « positive ».
This was until both United States President Donald Trump and his Secretary of State, Marco Rubio, threatened to get out of attention to the cessation of fire Until progress appeared rapidly.
Ukraine hoped that the growing impatience of the United States with Russia would translate into later sanctions for Moscow. Instead, the threat of the United States was washing the hands of ongoing peace efforts, it adapts to Kremlin more than Kiev.
The consensus is that the collective weight of Ukraine and its European allies would still be insufficient to counteract the long -term Russian aggression. Despite continuing in his search to conquer and occupy as much as possible from Ukraine, Moscow claims that he still strives for peace.
What he has done is to launch some of the most deadly missile strikes of civilians in recent days. In Kharkiv in the northeast, more than 100 people were injured and one person died after three residential parts of the city.
But these attacks have not provoked the smaller conviction of the White House, which has continued to use more a stick with Kiev, stopping military help and a carrot with Moscow, improving relationships, to get both parties to reflect their appetite for peace.
Kiev agreed to a ceasefire after the United States stopped their military help and the distribution of intelligence. Moscow has not been inclined to his constant maximalist demands of more Ukrainian territory and the overcoming of President Volodymyr Zelensky. It is difficult to see how this threat will lead to a breakthrough.
In the calm and open water of the Black Sea, Mykhailo commands his naval patrol boat created in the United States. While we are on the bridge, I ask him if he feels that he fights in Europe as well as his country.
« If Russia occupies all Ukraine, who knows? » He responds. « In ten or fifteen years, Russia will go to Poland, Lithuania, Estonia, any of the Baltic countries, which is quite clear. »
U.S. military assistance by Ukraine will be gradually ascended. No more packages will be put in front of the Congress or unblocking the presidential wear powers.
In the event that Washington turned his peace efforts, Ukraine would be relying on his European allies to counteract Russia’s continued invasion. The consensus is that this collective weight would be insufficient in the long term.
In this section of the coast controlled by Ukraine, Kiev has a success story. Through the launch of western drones and national production, the Russian fleet has been forced to return and a large maritime lane has been restored.
But the problem with defending the forces, as President Zelensky admits, is that the realities of the battlefield are lost in a wider audience.
Although the United States and Ukraine approach this mineral agreement, the threat of Trump administration allows it to look more like a business company.
It also raises major questions as to Washington, worries the long -term Ukraine who controls U.S. commercial interests.
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